Tag: housing

Launching Coverage on the MH REITs: Expect Valuation Premium to Shrink, Initiating at Underweight

March 16, 2026 by Jesse Lederman

We are initiating coverage on the manufactured housing REIT sector with an Underweight rating relative to the S&P 500. The land-lease model, with resident-owned homes, long resident tenures and constrained supply, supports some of the steadiest rent growth and highest core NOI margins among residential REITs. Even with these defensive benefits, valuation screens as expensive relative to history and residential REIT peers, limiting further upside – particularly against a backdrop of decelerating cash flow growth in 2027 versus acceleration for the apartment and single-family REITs, with convergence to the 3-4% range across all three sectors. While our sector rating is relative to the broader market, our stock ratings for SUI and ELS are relative to each other. We are initiating coverage of SUI at Outperform with a $127.75 fair value target and 5% present value downside, and ELS at Underperform with a $59.25 fair value target and 13% present value downside as we expect the valuation gap between the two companies to narrow...

Filed Under
Manufactured Housing

Manufactured Housing Policy: Improving on the Margin

February 23, 2026 by Jesse Lederman

Affordability remains a clear policy priority, but manufactured housing – the most affordable ownership option – has often been underrepresented in the broader debate. Even so, the policy backdrop continues to get incrementally better on two fronts: (1) state-level zoning reform that reduces discriminatory local barriers and (2) imminent federal HUD Code modernization...

Filed Under
Manufactured Housing

Envisioning the future of build-to-rent: Zelman advises on ResiBuilt’s sale to Invitation Homes

February 18, 2026 by Tony McGill

Zelman, a Walker & Dunlop company, served as the exclusive sell-side investment banker to RESICAP on the divestiture of its build-to-rent homebuilding and development platform, ResiBuilt, to Invitation Homes. The transaction represents a defining moment for the build-to-rent (BTR) sector and underscores the continued evolution of institutional investment in purpose-built housing...

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build-for-rent housing

Furniture Demand Faces the Elasticity Test, but Housing Turnover and Home Price Appreciation Hold the Key

February 13, 2026 by Marius Morar

With tariff-driven price increases now flowing through the furniture industry, the question of how much demand destruction higher prices will cause has become increasingly relevant. Over the last year, incremental tariffs on imports from China, India, Vietnam, and other Asian countries have pushed furniture prices materially higher. The CPI reported a 4.0% year-over-year price increase for furniture and bedding in January 2026, accelerating for two consecutive months from an average of 2.9% in October and November...

Filed Under
affordability housing supply

Cautiously Optimistic on the Main Course for 2026… with a Side of Wage Garnishment

January 08, 2026 by Ryan McKeveny

Looking ahead to 2026 for the housing market and its various subsectors, there are several reasons for optimism. We enter 2026 with mortgage rates at 6.2%, down 75 basis points from a year ago and near the lowest levels since 3Q22. Combined with home price growth that has lagged income growth over the last year – a trend we expect to continue...

Filed Under
affordability home improvement home pricing homeownership interest rates macro housing mortgage mortgage rates

Number of Real Estate Agents Drifting Lower, Following Expected Path

May 25, 2023 by Ryan McKeveny

While economy-wide employment trends have remained resilient, headcount for one of the largest professions in real estate – real estate agents – has been drifting lower, as approximated by the membership count of the National Association of Realtors. We estimate that agent count has now decreased on...

Filed Under
macro housing real estate services

Fighting Over a Melting Ice Cube?

April 29, 2022 by Dennis McGill

In our Cradle to Grave thematic report published last August, we raised the concern that population growth was on a “troubling trajectory”, but it has been dismissed by many as not a problem in “their” markets. Is this true?

Filed Under
demographics macro housing

Advertising Expense Across Homebuilding Industry Plunges; A Secular Shift or Cyclical Benefit?

March 16, 2022 by Alan Ratner

In 2021, SG&A expenses across the public homebuilding industry equaled just 8.8% of sales, down 90 basis points year over year to the lowest level on record. For comparison, during the previous boom period in the mid-2000s, SG&A expenses troughed at 10.7% of revenue, while the average ratio since 2000 has been 11.8%...

Filed Under
homebuilding housing new home sales sg&a

Share of Homebuyers With Weaker Credit Profiles Bouncing Back, But Not Everywhere

February 03, 2022 by Kevin Kaczmarek

As we noted in our latest mortgage survey and November newsletter, lower-quality credits have been gaining share in the home purchase market and likely will continue to do so, barring a sudden resurgence in refinance activity. Some may ask how this can be the case given daily media headlines describing red-hot housing markets and affordability crises. Before addressing that, we should examine some facts...

Filed Under
affordability demographics homeownership macro housing mortgage mortgage rates new home sales

Will Media Narrative Surrounding Homeownership Declines Embolden Already-Aggressive Built-for-Rent Developers?

November 18, 2021 by Alan Ratner

In recent weeks, a number of media headlines have pointed to a “plummeting" interest in homeownership as a by-product of the pandemic, seemingly justifying the massive push towards purpose-built single-family rental communities as households seek out the flexibility of renting along with the benefits of the single-family lifestyle. The narrative...

Filed Under
build-for-rent homeownership macro housing millennials single-family rental