Tag: Mortgage

Debating Risk, Merit of GSEs Accumulating Low Downpayment Market Share

February 22, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

Like the three years prior, in 2018, approximately 45% of the $1.2 trillion of purchase mortgages originated was covered by mortgage insurance provided by private entities or the government via the FHA, VA or USDA programs. This suggests an ...

A New Analysis of Homebuyer Leverage Ratios and Entry-Level Implications

February 08, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

In 2018, we estimate that the monthly payment for a typical entry-level homebuyer increased 11% year over year, inclusive of principal, interest and mortgage insurance. The spike was driven by an approximate 40 basis point increase in 30-year ...

Is Fear of Homeowners Trapped by Low Mortgage Rate Justified?

November 30, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

According to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey, the effective rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage bottomed at approximately 3.30% in late-2012. From 2012-17, the rate was below 4.00% in 208 out of 313 weeks, or 66% of the time. With the latest ...

Some Fascinating Conclusions as Home Affordability Concerns Come into Focus

November 16, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Over the last year, home price appreciation has averaged roughly 5.5% across the country while the typical 30-year fixed mortgage rate has expanded by almost exactly 100 basis points. A simple calculation results in the average monthly mortgage ...

With the Fed in Focus, What Can We Learn from Historical Actions?

November 02, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Thus far in 2018, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has increased approximately 50 basis points year over year, putting the year on pace to have the highest borrowing cost since 2010. According to Google Trends, an index tracking how ...

Homebuyers Increasingly Choosing Mortgage Companies Over Local Bank

June 15, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

In 2005, we estimate that there were 6.6 million purchase mortgages originated, proving to be an all-time peak. At that time, even with the excessive level of subprime and low-quality loans that are often associated with non-banks, 66% of originations ...

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Mortgage

Zelman Closest to the Pin for Key National Mortgage Statistics

May 18, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Last week, the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council (FFIEC) and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) released preliminary Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) data for 2017 mortgage originations. Released earlier than ...

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Mortgage

An Indirect Benefit from Tax Reform to Entry-Level Buyers as Insurance Rates are Cut

April 20, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Earlier this year, we dissected the impact of tax cuts on net income for different income cohorts, noting that the average individual tax filer would experience an approximate 1.5% increase in after-tax cash flow in ...

Is It Time to Start Worrying About Higher Interest Rates?

March 09, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

At the end of 2016, the 10-year Treasury yield stood at 2.45%, the highest year-end level since 3.04% in 2013. At that time, the expectation was that yields would continue a steady upward climb due to inflationary pressures from the incoming ...

National Mortgage Debt Climbing Again but Leverage Healthier than You’d Think

December 29, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

According to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s (FRBNY) quarterly report on household debt and credit, residential mortgages accounted for 71% of outstanding liabilities in 3Q17, far surpassing student loans (10%), auto loans (9%) and credit ...