Posts from August 2017

A Sign of Discretionary Home Improvement Projects Gaining Steam

August 25, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Over the last four years, our national home improvement proxy index has increased 6.0% annually, holding in a relatively tight range of 5.8-6.2%. To frame how dramatically the market has shifted from the depths of the recession, our index was ...

Could Tight For-Sale Inventory Depress Consumer Enthusiasm Shortly?

August 25, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Yesterday, the National Association of Realtors released its estimate for July existing home closings. Adjusted for seasonality, transactions were up 2% year over year, leaving the trailing three-month average increase at a similar 2% level ...

Second Kid Typically the Final Straw Before Heading to Suburbs

August 25, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

We recently detailed that “good” births, or births to women at least 25 years of age, were up 1.5% in 2016 based on preliminary estimates from the Center for Disease Control. While those estimates have been revised ...

While Consumer Wage Growth Disappoints, Net Income Accelerates

August 25, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Almost a year ago in an analysis titled, “Entry-Level Wage Growth Not Great, but Continuing to Improve”, we offered a relatively optimistic outlook for entry-level incomes with the growth rate improving for two key indicators in 2016 compared ...

Fed Senior Loan Officer Survey Does Not Tell Entire Story on AD&C Lending

August 11, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Last week, the Federal Reserve published its latest Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey with the goal to “provide qualitative and limited quantitative information on credit availability and demand.” As it relates to residential real estate capital ...

Consumer Intentions Contradict “Bad Time to Buy” Sentiment: Which to Trust?

August 11, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Earlier this week, Fannie Mae released the results of its monthly consumer survey focused on housing-related consumer sentiment. According to the July feedback, “the net share of Americans who say it is a good time to buy a home fell 7 percentage ...