Zelman Insights

Exclusive insights and analyses from our industry-leading research team

An Underappreciated Shift of Young Adults to Single-Family Living on Horizon

May 18, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

The importance of demographics to the overall housing market is widely understood and discussed, but is also often misinterpreted in our opinion. One area of heavy demographic focus today is on the “Millennial” generation and how its size, ...

Zelman Closest to the Pin for Key National Mortgage Statistics

May 18, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Last week, the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council (FFIEC) and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) released preliminary Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) data for 2017 mortgage originations. Released earlier than ...

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mortgage

Forget About Tax Changes – Homeownership Edges Higher Again

May 04, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

When tax reform became a meaningful conversation in late-2017, there was widespread concern that de-emphasizing itemized deductions for property taxes and mortgage interest would serve as a marginal headwind to the desire for homeownership ...

The Most Important Residential Construction Metric Never Discussed

April 20, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

There are many data points that are referenced by executives, investors and reporters to interpret the direction and position of the housing market, including existing home sales, new home sales, housing starts, the homeownership rate, home ...

An Indirect Benefit from Tax Reform to Entry-Level Buyers as Insurance Rates are Cut

April 20, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Earlier this year, we dissected the impact of tax cuts on net income for different income cohorts, noting that the average individual tax filer would experience an approximate 1.5% increase in after-tax cash flow in ...

Sorting Through Noise to Identify Trend in Dual-Income Homes, Affordability Impact

April 06, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

From 2011-17, the median existing home price appreciated by 5.9% per year and the median multi-family rental rate climbed by 3.5% annually. Both figures outstripped our calculation of entry-level income growth at 2.2% per year. Naturally, the ...

Is the Entry-Level Affordability Crunch Real?

March 23, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

In 2017, the median existing home sold in the United States cost approximately $206,250, according to CoreLogic’s public record database, which we view as an appropriate proxy for the entry-level price point. That was 5.3% higher than in 2016, ...

Is It Time to Start Worrying About Higher Interest Rates?

March 09, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

At the end of 2016, the 10-year Treasury yield stood at 2.45%, the highest year-end level since 3.04% in 2013. At that time, the expectation was that yields would continue a steady upward climb due to inflationary pressures from the incoming ...

Aging Housing Stock and Land Availability Segments Country in Housing Needs

March 09, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

As of 2017, we estimate that there were approximately 124 million households spread across the country, represented by single-family homes (68%), 5-plus unit multi-family buildings (18%), duplexes to quadplexes (8%) and manufactured housing ...

Apartment Executives’ Sentiment Index Indicates Further Softness in Trends

February 23, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Once a month, we survey private multi-family operators, developers, brokers and lenders to gauge fundamental trends across the sector. Our survey covers roughly 1.5 million institutional-quality units and developers that accounted for 9% of ...