Unique Beige Book Index a Better Read on Economy than GDP?
April 21, 2017 by Zelman & Associates
In 2016, real GDP increased 1.6%, tying 2011 as the weakest growth of the last six years. At the same time, the S&P 500 equity index was up a strong 10%, the annual unemployment rate was the lowest level since 2007 and consumer confidence was ...
Filed Under
macro housing
Amidst a Lost Decade for Housing, What Does Future Hold?
April 07, 2017 by Zelman & Associates
Every quarter, we publish in-depth macro housing forecasts and explanations covering single-family construction, multi-family construction, the existing housing market, home improvements and mortgage finance. With the release ...
New York Federal Reserve Study Hits Interesting Points on Student Debt
April 07, 2017 by Zelman & Associates
Earlier this week, the New York Federal Reserve published a presentation on household debt with a focus on student loans. According to the analysis, there was $1.31 trillion of outstanding student debt at the end of 2016, up 50% over the last ...
Filed Under
homeownershipstudent debt
Urban-Focused Multi-Family Construction Creating Longer Tail Risk of Supply
April 07, 2017 by Zelman & Associates
Unlike in the single-family market where permits and starts are largely reflective of current demand, on the multi-family side, permits and starts are influenced by current demand but they are still speculative in nature given that the product ...
Filed Under
apartmentshousing starts
Homebuilder M&A Gaining Steam with Foreign Companies Joining the Fray
March 10, 2017 by Zelman & Associates
Over the last year, several Asian companies have gone on a buying spree of private U.S. homebuilders, including leading Japanese builder Sekisui House’s recent purchase of Woodside Homes. The Woodside deal, valued at $468 million or roughly ...
Filed Under
homebuilding
Housing Executives and Analysts Being Swung Around by Volatile Government Data
March 10, 2017 by Zelman & Associates
Household formation is a phrase used to describe the net change in the number of households over a given period of time, essentially measuring incremental housing demand. Despite the importance of this measure to the housing market, in particular ...
Filed Under
household formation
As Boomers Age in Place, Less Inventory Available For Sale
February 24, 2017 by Zelman & Associates
In 2016, existing home sales increased 4%, which is consistent with the long-term median increase, despite a strong employment backdrop, accelerating household formations and elevated consumer confidence toward housing. Unfortunately, the market ...
Filed Under
baby boomersdemographicsexisting home sales
Defying the Narrative, Positive Signs Continue for Homeownership Rate
February 10, 2017 by Zelman & Associates
We recently outlined several reasons why we believed that the national homeownership rate was near a bottom. The most-frequently cited measure of homeownership comes from the Census Bureau’s quarterly Housing ...
Filed Under
entry-levelhomeownership
Are Boomers Really Downsizing to Multi-Family? Not According to the Data
February 10, 2017 by Zelman & Associates
The baby boom generation spans births from 1946-64, making those individuals 52-70 years old today. As has been the case since birth, the significant size of the baby boomers versus the prior generation makes understanding any shift in behavior ...
Filed Under
baby boomersdemographics
What is Impact to Home Improvements as Refinancings Collapse?
February 10, 2017 by Zelman & Associates
Since the presidential election, the 10-year Treasury yield has increased approximately 50 basis points, driving 30-year fixed mortgage rates up a similar amount. With the average 30-year rate in 2017 expected to increase at least 60 basis ...
Filed Under
home improvementrefinance
affordabilityapartmentsbaby boomersbuild-for-rentBuilding Productsconstruction lendingdemographicsentry-levelexisting home saleshome improvementhome pricinghomebuildinghomeownershiphousehold formationhousinghousing startsinstitutional investorsinterest ratesmacro housingManufactured Housingmillennialsmortgagemortgage ratesnew home salesreal estate servicesrefinancesg&asingle-family rentalstocksstudent debtsupplysurvey