If New Home Demand is So Strong, Why Has Start Activity Been So Lackluster?
September 20, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
This week, the Census Bureau reported its estimate for August single-family housing starts and permits. Positively, seasonally-adjusted starts accelerated to an annualized pace of 919,000, representing the strongest level since January and ...
Filed Under
housing startsnew home salessurvey
Contrary to Perception, Little Difference Between Young and Old DTI Ratios
September 06, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
Earlier this week, Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) data for 2018 was released. The annual dataset is enormous and serves as the primary baseline for most analyses of the mortgage market and its participants. This year also includes numerous ...
Filed Under
affordabilitymortgage
Residential Construction Warning of Nearing Recession?
August 23, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
Through the first seven months of 2019, residential construction for single-family and multi-family projects has trailed the prior-year period across the board. Specifically, single-family permits and starts are both down 3% while multi-family ...
Filed Under
apartmentshomebuildingmacro housing
Alarming Increase in Mortgage Debt-to-Income Ratios Reverses Course
July 26, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
Late last year, the average mortgage debt accumulated by homebuyers relative to their income was quickly rising, which was attributable to home price appreciation outpacing income growth, spiking mortgage rates and more lenient underwriting ...
Filed Under
affordabilitymortgage
“Steep Slowdown” on the Horizon for Home Improvements?
July 26, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
Last week, The Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University (JCHS) released its Leading Indicator of Remodeling Activity (LIRA) with a concerning headline: “Steep Slowdown Projected in Home Improvements.” We first wrote about the ...
Filed Under
home improvementsurvey
The Latest on Homeownership and Housing Supply
July 26, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
Yesterday, the Census Bureau released its quarterly Housing Vacancy Survey (HVS), which is intended to measure the occupancy and ownership status of the nation’s housing stock. Although the second quarter release indicated a sequential decline ...
Filed Under
homeownershipmacro housing
As “Crisis” Calls Mount, an Eye-Opening Spin on Affordability
July 12, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
From 2011-18, national existing home prices and apartment rents have climbed by 50-55% and 35-40%, respectively, easily outpacing 17% income growth for non-supervisory and production employees that represent the vast majority of the employment ...
Filed Under
affordabilitydemographics
Mischaracterization of Single-Family Investors Impacts Perceived Demand, Risk
July 12, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
In a blog post in late June (Don’t Call it a Comeback: Housing Investors Have Been Here for Years), CoreLogic raised some eyebrows with the conclusion that “in 2018, the share of home sales bought by investors reached its highest level in two ...
Filed Under
institutional investorsmacro housing
As Young Adult Population Growth Slows, Which States are Relative Winners?
June 28, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
As detailed last December, national population growth for the year ended July 2018 was just 0.62%, modestly softer than 0.64% in the previous year and the weakest annual expansion since 1945. Contrary ...
Filed Under
demographicsmillennials
A Fair Premium for New Homes Versus Existing Stock a Complicated Topic
June 14, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
Earlier this week, Redfin, the technology-enabled real estate brokerage, published a study on the valuation premium associated with a garage versus a similar property without one. Across its national analysis, the average premium realized for ...
affordabilityapartmentsbaby boomersbuild-for-rentBuilding Productsconstruction lendingdemographicsentry-levelexisting home saleshome improvementhome pricinghomebuildinghomeownershiphousehold formationhousinghousing startsinstitutional investorsinterest ratesmacro housingManufactured Housingmillennialsmortgagemortgage ratesnew home salesreal estate servicesrefinancesg&asingle-family rentalstocksstudent debtsupplysurvey