Zelman Insights

Exclusive insights and analyses from our industry-leading research team

Can We Trust What Senior Loan Officers are Telling the Fed?

November 16, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Once a quarter, the Federal Reserve conducts a survey of senior loan officers at large domestic banks and U.S. branches of foreign banks. The results of the October 2018 survey were just released, with approximately 65-70 responses received ...

Some Fascinating Conclusions as Home Affordability Concerns Come into Focus

November 16, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Over the last year, home price appreciation has averaged roughly 5.5% across the country while the typical 30-year fixed mortgage rate has expanded by almost exactly 100 basis points. A simple calculation results in the average monthly mortgage ...

With the Fed in Focus, What Can We Learn from Historical Actions?

November 02, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Thus far in 2018, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has increased approximately 50 basis points year over year, putting the year on pace to have the highest borrowing cost since 2010. According to Google Trends, an index tracking how ...

Want Your Adult Child to Move Out? Find Them Love

November 02, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

According to the American Community Survey (ACS) conducted by the Census Bureau, 14.2% of 25-34 year olds lived with their parents or grandparents in 2006. That ratio has increased every year since. The most significant annual increases were ...

Homeownership Rises Again as Single-Family Living Taking Share

November 02, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Over the last year, multi-family starts have accounted for 29% of all starts, close to the decade-to-date share at 31%. With this being notably higher than 20% in the 1990s and from 2000-09, clients often inquire as to whether we believe this ...

A More Detailed Look at Sizeable Drop in Recent Births

October 19, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

In June of this year, we analyzed preliminary 2017 birth data that revealed a surprising 2.3% drop from 2016, including a 1.3% decline for women at least 25 years old, which reversed similar growth in the prior year. With more detailed data ...

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Filed Under
demographics

Investors, Executives Debate Housing Uncertainty at 11th Annual Housing Summit

October 05, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Last week in Boston, Zelman & Associates hosted its 11th Annual Housing Summit, welcoming over 600 institutional investors and industry executives. Over the course of two days, the most important aspects of the housing outlook were detailed ...

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Filed Under
macro housing

Has the New Home Premium to Existing Homes Gotten Too Wide?

October 05, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Of late, there is an argument surfacing that new home pricing has become too expensive relative to the existing home alternative. It goes something like this: the median new home price reported by the Census Bureau over the last four quarters ...

Refuting Three Common Misperceptions of Wall Street Single-Family Landlords

September 21, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

In 2004, when homeownership was at an all-time high, there were over 11 million single-family rental households that provided shelter for over 32 million people. Although renting a home has always been a housing option, representing more than ...

A Look at the Pitfalls of the Most-Cited Household Formation Time Series

September 07, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Once a quarter, the Census Bureau publishes the results of its Housing Vacancy Survey (HVS), which includes estimates for occupied housing units, also referred to as households, vacancies and the homeownership rate. Given its frequency, the ...