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The Zelman Buzz

Exclusive insights and analyses from our industry-leading research team

Can Tighter Bank Lending Prevent Multi-Family Oversupply Problem?

November 04, 2016 by Zelman & Associates

As of 2Q16, the entire banking system held almost $400 billion of loans backing the acquisition, construction and development (AD&C) of residential and non-residential land and buildings. Over the last year, 16% growth led all major loan categories, ...

For Millennials, Willing to Sacrifice Walkability for Affordability

November 04, 2016 by Zelman & Associates

There remain varying opinions as to how young adults will view their housing decisions relative to prior generations, with some arguing for a lower sustainable homeownership rate and a more urban than suburban mix. Our demographic work indicates ...

Why We Believe the Homeownership Rate Has Bottomed

November 04, 2016 by Zelman & Associates

For 3Q16, the Census Bureau reported that the national homeownership rate, as measured by its quarterly Housing Vacancies and Homeownership Survey was 63.5%, up from 62.9% in 2Q16, with about half of the improvement due to typical seasonality ...

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Filed Under
homeownership

Size of New Single-Family Homes Starting to Decline on Entry-Level Push

October 21, 2016 by Zelman & Associates

On a quarterly basis, we aggregate a significant sample of new homes listed for sale by production builders to gauge the trends in price point availability, pricing trends and general characteristics of the homes. In 3Q16, our sample approximated ...

Long-Term Increase in Asian and Hispanic Homeownership Rates Underappreciated

October 21, 2016 by Zelman & Associates

As of the 2010 Decennial Census conducted by the Census Bureau, 64% of the population was characterized as being of White race, down from 69% in 2000 and 76% in 1990. Depending on immigration assumptions, demographers estimate that the White ...

9th Annual Housing Summit Brings Together Hundreds of Industry Leaders

October 07, 2016 by Zelman & Associates

Two weeks ago, Zelman & Associates hosted its 9th Annual Housing Summit in Boston. The event attracted record attendance of over 700 institutional investors and housing industry executives. Our interactive panels included homebuilders, building ...

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Filed Under
macro housing

Apartment-Centric Population Expected to Trail Modestly Over Next Decade

October 07, 2016 by Zelman & Associates

We define the “Millennial” generation as those born between 1984 and 2002, making them 14-32 years old at present. According to the Census Bureau, there are approximately 83.5 million people in the United States in this age cohort ...

Mixed Results for Housing-Related Stock Prices in 3Q16 and Year To Date

October 07, 2016 by Zelman & Associates

Zelman & Associates produces stock price indices for eight sectors where it provides equity research coverage, presently capturing almost 90 companies. In the third quarter, the S&P 500 index appreciated 3% while the 10-year Treasury yield ...

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Filed Under
stocks

Consumer Misperception of Mortgage Credit Leaves Opportunity

September 23, 2016 by Zelman & Associates

For industry executives primarily dependent on the housing market for revenue, it is widely understood that consumers can secure a mortgage with less than 20% down – the benchmark that was more common in prior generations but has now shifted ...

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Filed Under
mortgage

Ends of Income Spectrum Shaping Current Story of Existing Home Sales

September 23, 2016 by Zelman & Associates

Each month as part of our private homebuilder survey, we ask our contacts to rate new home demand by price point on a 0-100 scale. In August, the entry-level segment was rated at 67.3, representing the strongest of the five price points for ...