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The Zelman Buzz

Exclusive insights and analyses from our industry-leading research team

National Mortgage Debt Climbing Again but Leverage Healthier than You’d Think

December 29, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

According to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s (FRBNY) quarterly report on household debt and credit, residential mortgages accounted for 71% of outstanding liabilities in 3Q17, far surpassing student loans (10%), auto loans (9%) and credit ...

Americans Moving at Slowest Pace in History – What is True Housing Takeaway?

December 15, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

According to a recent study released by the Census Bureau, 11.0% of the U.S. population moved in the year ended 1Q17. The study refers to this as the “mover rate” and notes that the latest reading was lower than 11.2% in the prior year, which ...

Homebuying Demands for Millennials and Generation X are More Alike than Dissimilar

December 15, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Unlike the Baby Boomer generation that is generally accepted as being born over the 19 years covering 1946-64, varied definitions exist for the following Generation X or the more recent Millennials. From our perspective, the most logical segmentation ...

Cash-Out Refinances Gaining Share, but Not the Macro Impact that You Might Think

December 01, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Last week, Freddie Mac released its quarterly refinance statistics for 3Q17. The analysis uses a sample of properties where Freddie Mac has funded two successive conventional, first-mortgage loans, and the latest loan is for a refinancing. ...

Is Angst About Possible Change to Mortgage Interest and Other Deductions Justified?

November 17, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Over the last two weeks, committees in the House of Representatives and Senate released tax plan proposals that aimed to lower personal and corporate taxes. On the personal side, while the two proposals have many nuances and variances in how ...

Despite Millennials, the Strongest 20-34 Aged Population Growth in Rearview Mirror

November 03, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

According to the Census Bureau, there were approximately 249 million adults in the United States as of its last population estimates in July 2016. Versus the prior year, growth in the adult population measured slightly less than 0.9%, the weakest ...

As Ownership Rate Inches Higher Again, Consumer Actions Trumping Sentiment

November 03, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Several months ago, we wrote an analysis titled “Will This Halt the ‘Renter Nation’ War Cries?” after 2Q17 homeownership rates were published in the Housing Vacancies and Homeownership Survey (HVS) by the Census Bureau ...

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Filed Under
homeownership

Questions Arise as Residential Investment in GDP Hits Softest Growth Since 2Q11

November 03, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its preliminary estimate of 3Q17 GDP growth. As measured directly, investment in residential structures is on pace to average approximately $730 billion this year, accounting for almost ...

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Filed Under
macro housing

New Disclosures Show Young, Minorities and Lower Income Lead Mortgage Rebound

October 20, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Based on our national mortgage finance research, we estimate that 2.57 million unit purchase mortgages were originated in 2011, which stood 61% lower than the cycle peak of 6.60 million in 2005 and represented the lowest production since at ...

Non-Banks Dominating Origination Market with Some Startling Growth Rates

October 20, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

While banks dominate mortgage credit headlines given that the majority are publicly traded, host investor conference calls and are recognizable brand names, non-depository mortgage companies ...

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Filed Under
mortgage