Warning Lights Flashing Red for Healthcare Costs and Housing Affordability
April 05, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), personal consumption expenditures totaled $13.9 trillion in 2018, up 4.7% year over year versus a 5.0% increase in disposable income, which was aided by wage growth and tax reform. The BEA ...
Filed Under
affordabilitymacro housing
The Percentage of Construction Workers Saying “I Quit” a Sign of the Times
April 05, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
In 2018, the national unemployment rate averaged 3.9%, the first year below 4.0% since 1969, which has been a positive for wage growth and potential entry-level homebuyers. However, the other side of that coin has been a shortage of labor in ...
Filed Under
homebuildingmacro housing
Is Your State Winning or Losing Among Millennial, Baby Boomer Movers?
March 22, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
In February, we analyzed state-to-state migration patterns of 25-29 year old households – the heart of the Millennial generation – showing that the catalyst to bring a young adult to a state often differs from ...
Filed Under
baby boomersdemographicsmillennials
30-Year Olds: Still Acting Young or Growing Up?
March 22, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
In 2007, 66.1% of 30-39 year old households lived in a single-family dwelling, inclusive of owned and rental homes. This was the peak of the decade, with the share dropping each of the next eight years as the Great Recession unfolded and aftereffects ...
Filed Under
demographicsmillennials
Historically Linked, Here’s Why Housing Outlook Far Superior to Autos
March 08, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
Historically, the housing and auto markets have been highly linked given the big-ticket nature of the consumer purchases and the dependence on credit for the majority of buyers. For example, from 1990-2016, auto sales and housing starts have ...
Filed Under
macro housingmortgage
Single-Family Rental Sector Enjoying Sweet Spot of Growth Amidst Tight Supply
March 08, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
Public REITs Invitation Homes (INVH) and American Homes 4 Rent (AMH) are the two largest single-family landlords in the country, owning almost 81,000 and 53,000 homes, respectively. While each company controls less than 1% of national single-family ...
Filed Under
institutional investorssingle-family rental
Strong Signal as Homeownership Rises Again Despite Transaction Weakness
March 08, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
According to the latest Housing Vacancy Survey (HVS) from the Census Bureau, the national homeownership rate improved again in 4Q18, reaching 64.8% versus 64.4% in 3Q18. This now marks the highest level since 1Q14 and represents the eighth ...
Filed Under
homeownership
Debating Risk, Merit of GSEs Accumulating Low Downpayment Market Share
February 22, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
Like the three years prior, in 2018, approximately 45% of the $1.2 trillion of purchase mortgages originated was covered by mortgage insurance provided by private entities or the government via the FHA, VA or USDA programs. This suggests an ...
Filed Under
entry-levelmortgage
What States are Magnets for Young Adults? You Might Be Surprised
February 22, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
As detailed last year, the strongest population growth of late according to the Census Bureau was in Nevada, Idaho, Utah, Arizona and Florida. Above-average growth in these states is likely not surprising ...
Filed Under
demographicsmillennials
A New Analysis of Homebuyer Leverage Ratios and Entry-Level Implications
February 08, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
In 2018, we estimate that the monthly payment for a typical entry-level homebuyer increased 11% year over year, inclusive of principal, interest and mortgage insurance. The spike was driven by an approximate 40 basis point increase in 30-year ...
Filed Under
affordabilityentry-levelmortgage
affordabilityapartmentsbaby boomersbuild-for-rentBuilding Productsconstruction lendingdemographicsentry-levelexisting home saleshome improvementhome pricinghomebuildinghomeownershiphousehold formationhousinghousing startsinstitutional investorsinterest ratesmacro housingManufactured Housingmillennialsmortgagemortgage ratesnew home salesreal estate servicesrefinancesg&asingle-family rentalstocksstudent debtsupplysurvey